{"id":8532,"date":"2024-10-07T20:35:14","date_gmt":"2024-10-07T18:35:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/?p=8532"},"modified":"2024-10-07T20:41:34","modified_gmt":"2024-10-07T18:41:34","slug":"neigiamas-rugsejo-menesio-sezoniskumas-siais-metais-nepasitvirtino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/en\/neigiamas-rugsejo-menesio-sezoniskumas-siais-metais-nepasitvirtino\/","title":{"rendered":"Neigiamas rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nesio sezoni\u0161kumas \u0161iais metais nepasitvirtino"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo istori\u0161kai yra pras\u010diausias m\u0117nuo akcij\u0173 turto klasei. Tarkime nuo 1970 met\u0173 net 49 proc. laiko rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo buvo nuostolingas, o vidutinis pasaulio akcij\u0173 indekso pokytis -0,69 proc. Ta\u010diau \u0161iais metais min\u0117ta sezoni\u0161kumo tendencija nepasitvirtino.<\/p>

Rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo buvo pelningas prakti\u0161kai visoms m\u016bs\u0173 analizuojamoms pagrindin\u0117ms turto klas\u0117ms. Did\u017eiausi\u0105 gr\u0105\u017e\u0105, vertinant eurais, sugeneravo besivystan\u010di\u0173 rink\u0173 akcijos (+6,4%), nekilnojamojo turto sektorius (be JAV) (+4,4%) bei auksas (+4,2%). Tuo tarpu \u017ealiavoms tai buvo jau tre\u010dias nuostolingas m\u0117nuo i\u0161 eil\u0117s (-1,0%).<\/p>

Kas prisid\u0117jo prie teigiamo rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nesio sentimento? \u0160ioje vietoje b\u016bt\u0173 galima i\u0161skirti bent kelis veiksnius. Vis\u0173 pirma, pra\u0117jus 14 m\u0117nesi\u0173 nuo paskutinio pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos k\u0117limo, JAV centrinis bankas (FED) kaip ir buvo tikimasi, rugs\u0117jo 18 d. prad\u0117jo pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einimo cikl\u0105 ir bazin\u0119 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0105 suma\u017eino 50 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173 (0,5 proc.). Nedarbo lygiui pakilus nuo \u017eemiausio 3,4 proc. 2023 m. baland\u012f iki 4,2 proc. \u0161iandien, FED pareig\u016bnai ai\u0161kiai leido suprasti, kad jie nesid\u017eiaugia tolesniu ekonomikos silpn\u0117jimu ir yra pasiruo\u0161\u0119 pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas suma\u017einti dar labiau.<\/p>

Tuo tarpu rugs\u0117jo 24 d. Kinija paskelb\u0117 apie nauj\u0105 ekonomikos skatinimo paket\u0105, na ir b\u016btent \u0161i \u017einia tur\u0117jo ypa\u010d teigiam\u0105 impuls\u0105 ne tik Kinijos, bet ir viso likusio pasaulio akcij\u0173 rinkoms.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Kinijos ekonomikos skatinimo paketas i\u0161judino rink\u0105<\/span><\/h4>

Kaip jau min\u0117jome anks\u010diau, rugs\u0117jo 24 d. Kinijos politikos formuotojai paskelb\u0117 apie did\u017eiausias ekonomikos skatinimo priemones nuo COVID-19 pandemijos prad\u017eios. \u0160is \u017eingsnis buvo ai\u0161kus signalas, kad Pekinas yra pasireng\u0119s remti Kinijos ekonomik\u0105.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Kokios tai buvo priemon\u0117s? Kinijos centrinis bankas suma\u017eino tarpbankinio skolinimosi normas, bank\u0173 rezerv\u0173 reikalavimas bei pradinio \u012fna\u0161o antram b\u016bstui \u012fsigyti dyd\u012f nuo 25 iki 15 proc. Visos \u0161ios priemon\u0117s buvo nukreiptos tiek \u012f merdin\u010dio nekilnojamojo turto sektoriaus, tiek \u012f vartojimo skatinim\u0105.<\/p>

Po \u0161i\u0173 priemoni\u0173 paskelbimo rugs\u0117jo m\u0117n. pabaiga Azijos akcijoms buvo ypa\u010d pelninga. Pavyzd\u017eiui, Kinijos akcij\u0173 indeksas Shenzen CSI 300 per kitas penkias sesijas pakilo net 25 proc., o tai, \u017evelgiant i\u0161 rinkos perspektyvos, gali reik\u0161ti beveik ketveri\u0173 met\u0173 me\u0161k\u0173 rinkos pabaig\u0105.<\/p>

\u012e \u0161ias naujienas ypa\u010d teigiamai reagavo \u201eSynergy finance\u201c valdomas investicinis fondas \u201eNextury Asia Technology Fund\u201c, kuris beveik 50 proc. l\u0117\u0161\u0173 investuoja b\u016btent \u012f Kinijos akcijas ir rugs\u0117jo m\u0117n. pademonstravo geriausi\u0105 rezultat\u0105 (+6,3%). Did\u017eiausi\u0105 teigiam\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 fondo rezultatui tur\u0117jo tokios pozicijos kaip Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. bei Baidu Inc., kuri\u0173 akcij\u0173 kainos rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nes\u012f atitinkamai kilo +27,3 ir 24,4 proc.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Kas vyksta su technologij\u0173 sektoriumi?<\/span><\/h4>

JAV technologij\u0173 sektori\u0173 atspindintis NASDAQ 100 indeksas kain\u0173 pik\u0105 pasiek\u0117 2024 met\u0173 liepos 10 dien\u0105 ir nuo to laiko atsilieka nuo plataus JAV akcij\u0173 indekso S&P 500. Jei pastarasis indeksas jau pasiek\u0117 nauj\u0105 kainos rekord\u0105, NASDAQ 100 indeksui iki buvusio kain\u0173 piko vis dar tr\u016bksta ma\u017edaug 3 proc.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Taigi, kas nutiko? Ar technologij\u0173 akcijos nebegeneruoja pelno? \u0160ioje vietoje turb\u016bt vis\u0173 pirma reik\u0117t\u0173 pabr\u0117\u017eti tai, kad iki liepos m\u0117n. technologij\u0173 akcijos lyderiavo ir pagal daugel\u012f santykini\u0173 rodikli\u0173 buvo \u201epervertintos\u201c, kas i\u0161 dalies \u012fsp\u0117jo apie galim\u0105 kain\u0173 korekcij\u0105 ar prastesnius rezultatus ateityje. Ta\u010diau i\u0161 kitos pus\u0117s, jei vertinsime pelno rodiklius, pamatysime, kad tarkime Magnificent-7 \u012fmoni\u0173 pelno mar\u017ea laikosi vir\u0161 20 proc. (likusi\u0173 akcij\u0173 nevir\u0161ija 10 proc.), o prognozuojamas 2024 met\u0173 4 ketvir\u010dio pelno augimas apie 21 proc. (likusi\u0173 akcij\u0173 13%).<\/p>

Na o kalbant apie \u201eSynergy finance\u201c valdom\u0105 investicin\u012f fond\u0105 \u201eNextury Technology Fund\u201c, galime pasid\u017eiaugti, kad rugs\u0117jo m\u0117n. \u0161is fondas pademonstravo antr\u0105 geriausi\u0105 rezultat\u0105 (+5,4%). Did\u017eiausi\u0105 teigiam\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 fondo rezultatui tur\u0117jo Tesla akcij\u0173 kainos kilimas (+22,2%).<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo istori\u0161kai yra pras\u010diausias m\u0117nuo akcij\u0173 turto klasei. Tarkime nuo 1970 met\u0173 net 49 proc. laiko rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo buvo nuostolingas, o vidutinis pasaulio akcij\u0173 indekso pokytis -0,69 proc. Ta\u010diau […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"footnotes":"","_tec_slr_enabled":"","_tec_slr_layout":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8532","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-straipsniai"],"yoast_head":"\nNeigiamas rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nesio sezoni\u0161kumas \u0161iais metais nepasitvirtino - INWEST<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Neigiamas rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nesio sezoni\u0161kumas \u0161iais metais nepasitvirtinoRugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo istori\u0161kai yra pras\u010diausias m\u0117nuo akcij\u0173 turto klasei. Tarkime nuo 1970 met\u0173 net 49 proc. laiko rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo buvo nuostolingas, o vidutinis pasaulio akcij\u0173 indekso pokytis -0,69 proc. Ta\u010diau \u0161iais metais min\u0117ta sezoni\u0161kumo tendencija nepasitvirtino.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/en\/neigiamas-rugsejo-menesio-sezoniskumas-siais-metais-nepasitvirtino\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Neigiamas rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nesio sezoni\u0161kumas \u0161iais metais nepasitvirtino - INWEST\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Neigiamas rugs\u0117jo m\u0117nesio sezoni\u0161kumas \u0161iais metais nepasitvirtinoRugs\u0117jo m\u0117nuo istori\u0161kai yra pras\u010diausias m\u0117nuo akcij\u0173 turto klasei. 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