{"id":7983,"date":"2024-09-18T17:43:19","date_gmt":"2024-09-18T15:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/?p=7983"},"modified":"2024-09-23T20:21:20","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T18:21:20","slug":"rugpjucio-menuo-investuotojams-atnese-linksmuosius-kalnelius","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/en\/rugpjucio-menuo-investuotojams-atnese-linksmuosius-kalnelius\/","title":{"rendered":"Rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nuo investuotojams atne\u0161\u0117 \u201elinksmuosius kalnelius\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nesio prad\u017eioje, po to, kai buvo paskelbti prastesni nei tik\u0117tasi JAV ekonominiai rodikliai, bei Japonijos centrinis bankas netik\u0117tai 0,25 proc. padidino bazines pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas, \u012fvyko staigus pasaulini\u0173 akcij\u0173 rink\u0173 i\u0161pardavimas.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Per pirm\u0105sias tris m\u0117nesio dienas JAV akcijos smuko daugiau nei 7%, Japonijos akcijos u\u017efiksavo blogiausi\u0105 vienos dienos pokyt\u012f nuo 1987 met\u0173, baim\u0117s indeksas VIX buvo pa\u0161ok\u0119s iki 65 punkt\u0173, t. y. did\u017eiausio lygio nuo COVID-19 pandemijos. Ta\u010diau iki m\u0117nesio pabaigos dauguma riziking\u0173 turto klasi\u0173 atsities\u0117, nes investuotojai prad\u0117jo tik\u0117tis, kad JAV centrinis bankas (FED) imsis agresyvesnio pinig\u0173 politikos \u0161velninimo.<\/p>

Rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nes\u012f did\u017eiausi\u0105 gr\u0105\u017e\u0105, vertinant eurais, sugeneravo JAV nekilnojamojo turto sektorius (+2,9%),\u00a0 nekilnojamojo turto sektorius (be JAV) (+2,3%) bei besivystan\u010di\u0173 rink\u0173 obligacijos (+2,2%). Tuo tarpu \u017ealiavos antr\u0105 m\u0117nes\u012f i\u0161 eil\u0117s pademonstravo silpniausi\u0105 rezultat\u0105 (-4,4%).<\/p>

Kalbant apie JAV bazines pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas, \u0161iuo metu tikimyb\u0117, kad JAV centrinis bankas bazines pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas suma\u017eins rugs\u0117jo 18 dienos susirinkime yra lygi 100%: tikimyb\u0117, kad pal\u016bkanos bus ma\u017einamos 0,25% lygi 73%, tuo tarpu tikimyb\u0117, kad pal\u016bkanos bus ma\u017einamos 0,50% lygi 27%.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Japonijos jenos \u201ccarry trade\u201d<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Turb\u016bt daug kam kyla klausimas, kod\u0117l Japonijos centrinio banko sprendimas 0,25% padidinti bazines pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas gal\u0117jo taip stipriai \u201csupurtyti\u201d rinkas? Trumpas atsakymas b\u016bt\u0173 Japonijos jenos \u201ccarry trade\u201d pozicij\u0173 u\u017edarymas.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Super \u017eemos pal\u016bkanos Japonijoje lyginant su JAV ar Europa, investuotojams sudar\u0117 galimyb\u0119 skolintis pigiai Japonijos jenomis ir investuoti \u012f didesn\u0119 gr\u0105\u017e\u0105 generuojan\u010dius aktyvus kitose \u0161alyse (pvz., JAV technologij\u0173 akcijas). V\u0117liau investuotojai, u\u017efiksav\u0119 peln\u0105 padengdavo turim\u0105 skol\u0105 jenomis. Prie \u0161ios strategijos patrauklumo prisid\u0117jo dar ir tai, kad pastaruosius 3 metus Japonijos valiuta \u201estabiliai\u201c pigo.<\/p>

Ta\u010diau Japonijos centriniam bankui nusprendus pakelti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas bei Japonijos jenai staiga prad\u0117jus brangti, \u0161i strategija tapo labai rizkinga ir daugel\u012f investuotoj\u0173 privert\u0117 \u201eu\u017edarin\u0117ti\u201c spekuliatyvias pozicijas. Nors sunku apibr\u0117\u017eti tiksli\u0105 toki\u0173 sandori\u0173 sum\u0105, ta\u010diau buvo spekuliuojama, kad ji gal\u0117jo siekti 4 trilijonus JAV doleri\u0173.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Obligacijos \u201elinksmuosius kalnelius\u201c pergyveno ramiai<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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Kaip teko ra\u0161yti ir pra\u0117jusio m\u0117nesio komentare, ma\u017e\u0117jan\u010dios pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos turi teigiam\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 obligacij\u0173 kainoms, taigi jei rinka tikisi staigesnio ar didesnio pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 ma\u017einimo, da\u017eniausiai obligacijoms tai bus teigiamas \u017eenklas.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f tai, kad pastaruoju metu rinkoje kaip tik ir vyrauja pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 ma\u017einimo nuotaikos, obligacijos gana ramiai pergyveno riziking\u0173 turto klasi\u0173 svyravimus ir suveik\u0117 kaip vadov\u0117lin\u0117 investicij\u0173 portfelio diversifikavimo priemon\u0117.<\/p>

Finans\u0173 rinkose vyraujant turbulencijai \u201eSynergy finance\u201c valdomas investicinis fondas \u201eSynergy European Bond Fund\u201c, rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nes\u012f pademonstravo geriausi\u0105 rezultat\u0105 (+0,7%). \u0160is fondas did\u017ei\u0105j\u0105 dal\u012f turto kaip tik ir yra investav\u0119s \u012f investicinio reitingo valstybines bei \u012fmoni\u0173 obligacijas ir ma\u017edaug 20% fondo investicij\u0173 sudaro viena pelningiausi\u0173 rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nesio turto klasi\u0173 \u2013 besivystan\u010di\u0173 rink\u0173 obligacijos.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nesio prad\u017eioje, po to, kai buvo paskelbti prastesni nei tik\u0117tasi JAV ekonominiai rodikliai, bei Japonijos centrinis bankas netik\u0117tai 0,25 proc. padidino bazines pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas, \u012fvyko staigus pasaulini\u0173 akcij\u0173 rink\u0173 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8097,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"footnotes":"","_tec_slr_enabled":"","_tec_slr_layout":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-straipsniai"],"yoast_head":"\nRugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117nuo investuotojams atne\u0161\u0117 \u201elinksmuosius kalnelius\u201c - 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