{"id":5047,"date":"2023-12-05T15:46:17","date_gmt":"2023-12-05T13:46:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/?p=5047"},"modified":"2024-06-08T11:34:14","modified_gmt":"2024-06-08T09:34:14","slug":"lapkricio-naujienos-is-gretos-siauciulytes-cfa-inwest-ambasadores","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inwest.lt\/en\/lapkricio-naujienos-is-gretos-siauciulytes-cfa-inwest-ambasadores\/","title":{"rendered":"Lapkri\u010dio Naujienos i\u0161 Gretos \u0160iau\u010diulyt\u0117s, CFA, INWEST Ambasador\u0117s"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pasaulio akcij\u0173 indeksas MSCI World (EUR) lapkrit\u012f augo 6 proc.<\/h6>
Obligacij\u0173 rinkoms \u2014 geriausias m\u0117nuo nuo 2008 m. kriz\u0117s<\/h6>
Infliacija tiek JAV, tiek Europoje ir toliau l\u0117t\u0117ja.<\/h6>
Rinkose \u012fsitvirtina nuomon\u0117, jog pal\u016bkan\u0173 k\u0117limo ciklas \u2014 baig\u0117si<\/h6>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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Ar \u0161iemet Kal\u0117d\u0173 Senelio finans\u0173 rinkose sulauk\u0117me anks\u010diau?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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Lapkritis \u012f akcij\u0173 rinkas atne\u0161\u0117 taip ilgai laukto palengv\u0117jimo \u2013 S&P 500 (EUR) indeksas brango 8 proc., pasaulio akcij\u0173 indeksas \u201eMSCI World\u201c (EUR) 6 proc. Geras investuotoj\u0173 nuotaikas l\u0117m\u0117 atsinaujin\u0119s entuziazmas d\u0117l dirbtinio intelekto, v\u0117stanti infliacija, l\u016bkes\u010dius vir\u0161ij\u0119 \u012fmoni\u0173 rezultatai bei spartus JAV ekonomikos augimas. Ar akcij\u0173 rinkos sulauk\u0117 i\u0161ankstini\u0173 Kal\u0117dini\u0173 dovan\u0173 ir ko tik\u0117tis met\u0173 pabaigai?<\/p>

Gruod\u017eio m\u0117nuo istori\u0161kai yra vienas palankiausi\u0173 akcij\u0173 rinkoms \u2014 1950-2022 m. \u201eS&P 500\u201c indekso gr\u0105\u017ea vidutini\u0161kai siek\u0117 1.4 proc. Nors labiausiai tik\u0117tina, jog tai yra tik statistin\u0117 anomalija, o ne sezoninio optimizmo rezultatas, ta\u010diau pana\u0161u, kad \u012f akcij\u0173 rinkas \u0161iemet Kal\u0117dos at\u0117jo m\u0117nesiu anks\u010diau.<\/p>

Lapkrit\u012f investuotojus d\u017eiugino daugyb\u0117 teigiam\u0173 naujien\u0173. Tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio JAV BVP i\u0161augo 4.9 proc., infliacija v\u0117so spar\u010diau nei tik\u0117tasi, o darbo rinka i\u0161liko stabili, nepaisant agresyvaus FED pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 k\u0117limo. Optimizmo suteik\u0117 ir geresni nei tik\u0117tasi tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio \u012fmoni\u0173 rezultatai. Daugiau nei 80 proc. did\u017eiausi\u0173 JAV kompanij\u0173 pelno rodikliai pranoko l\u016bkes\u010dius, ir bendrai tre\u010di\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f \u201eS&P 500\u201d indekso kompanij\u0173 pelnas augo pirm\u0105 kart\u0105 nuo 2022 m. tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio ir siek\u0117 4.3 proc.<\/p>

\u0160\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f rinkose taip pat vis labiau \u012fsitvirtino nuomon\u0117, jog FED u\u017ebaig\u0117 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 k\u0117limo cikl\u0105, po to, kai infliacija ir darbo rinkos augimas pasiek\u0117 \u017eemiausi\u0105 lyg\u012f per daugiau nei dvejus metus. Tuo tarpu obligacij\u0173 rinka, kuri dar spal\u012f k\u0117l\u0117 didel\u012f susir\u016bpinim\u0105, \u0161\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f nurimo, o 10 met\u0173 JAV i\u017edo pajamingumas nukrito nuo pastar\u0173j\u0173 16 met\u0173 auk\u0161tum\u0173.<\/p>

Taigi, jeigu Kal\u0117dos rinkose at\u0117jo kiek anks\u010diau, ko galime tik\u0117tis met\u0173 pabaigoje? Nuo lapkri\u010dio vidurio indeksas augo tik ne\u017eymiai, apie 1 proc., ir dabartin\u0117 indekso reik\u0161m\u0117 sutampa su did\u017ei\u0173j\u0173 bank\u0173, toki\u0173 kaip \u201eMorgan Stanley\u201d ir \u201eGoldman Sachs\u201d, met\u0173 pabaigos prognoz\u0117mis. Pasibaigus rezultat\u0173 sezonui ir iki met\u0173 galo nenusimatant didesni\u0173 makroekonomini\u0173 rodikli\u0173 paskelbimo, tai gali b\u016bt\u0173 \u017eenklas, kad tolesniam raliui daug vietos nebeliko. Ta\u010diau \u017ei\u016brint i\u0161 pozityvesn\u0117s pus\u0117s, rink\u0173 kritimui daug pagrindo taip pat nematyti.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Nauja entuziazmo banga dirbtinio intelekto srityje<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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Nors susidom\u0117jimas dirbtinio intelekto technologijomis ir su jomis susijusiomis \u012fmon\u0117mis stebimas jau nuo met\u0173 prad\u017eios, pastar\u0105j\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f naujien\u0173 \u0161ioje srityje tikrai netr\u016bko. Fonde \u201eSynergy Future Megatrends Fund\u201c laikomas robotikos ir dirbtinio intelekto ETF \u201eiShares Robotics and Artificial Intelligence Multisector ETF\u201c lapkrit\u012f brango beveik 13 proc. ir \u017eenkliai prisid\u0117jo prie teigiam\u0173 fondo rezultat\u0173.<\/p>

Netik\u0117tai i\u0161 pareig\u0173 pa\u0161alinus \u201eMicrosoft\u201c remiamo startuolio \u201eOpenAI\u201c generalin\u012f direktori\u0173 S. Altman, pats \u201eMicrosoft\u201c suskubo prane\u0161ti apie ketinimus j\u012f pasamdyti vadovauti naujai dirbtinio intelekto tyrim\u0173 komandai. Po \u0161io prane\u0161imo \u201eMicrosoft\u201c akcij\u0173 kaina \u0161oktel\u0117jo daugiau nei 2 proc. ir pasiek\u0117 nauj\u0105 vis\u0173 laik\u0173 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 kain\u0105, o per m\u0117nes\u012f brango beveik 14 proc.<\/p>

Dar viena naujiena, dirbtinio intelekto akcijoms suteikusi optimizmo \u2014 lust\u0173 gamintojos \u201eNvidia\u201c rezultatai, vir\u0161ij\u0119 analitik\u0173 l\u016bkes\u010dius. Tre\u010di\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f \u012fmon\u0117s pajamos augo daugiau nei 200 proc., palyginti su tuo pa\u010diu laikotarpiu prie\u0161 metus. Nors investuotojus kiek nuvyl\u0117 nuosaikesn\u0117s prognoz\u0117s paskutiniam ketvir\u010diui d\u0117l eksporto ribojim\u0173 \u012f Kinij\u0105, per m\u0117nes\u012f akcij\u0173 kaina pakilo apie 18 proc. Tiek \u201eNvidia\u201c, tiek \u201eMicrosoft\u201c kartu sudaro apie 25 proc. fondo \u201eNextury Technology Fund\u201c turto.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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\u201eBaidu\u201c dirbtinio intelekto pokalbi\u0173 robotas prad\u0117jo generuoti pajamas<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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Vienu i\u0161 pagrindini\u0173 \u201eChatGPT\u201c pokalbi\u0173 roboto konkurent\u0173 laikomas Kinijos kompanijos \u201eBaidu\u201c robotas \u201eErnie Bot\u201c. Nors kompanija \u017einoma d\u0117l did\u017eiausios Kinijoje paie\u0161kos sistemos, ta\u010diau pastaruoju metu savo versl\u0105 nukreipin\u0117ja \u012f naujas sritis, tokias kaip savaeigiai automobiliai bei dirbtinis intelektas.<\/p>

\u0160\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f \u012fmon\u0117s akcij\u0173 kaina brango apie 14 proc., o investuotojus nustebino paskelbti geresni nei tik\u0117tasi tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio rezultatai. Pajamos augo 5 proc., o pelnas net 23 proc., palyginti su tuo pa\u010diu laikotarpiu prie\u0161 metus. Fonduose \u201eNextury Technology Fund\u201c bei \u201eNextury Asia Technology Fund\u201c \u201eBaidu\u201c sudaro po 15 proc. turto. Bendrov\u0117s skai\u010diavimais, paskutin\u012f \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 ketvirt\u012f \u201eErnie\u201c tur\u0117t\u0173 pad\u0117ti sugeneruoti papildomus \u0161imtus milijon\u0173 juani\u0173 pajam\u0173 i\u0161 reklamos.<\/p>

\u0160iais metais bendrov\u0117 prisijung\u0117 prie lenktyni\u0173 su vietiniais konkurentais \u201eAlibaba\u201c bei \u201eTencent\u201c, siekdama monetizuoti pokalbi\u0173 robotus. \u201eBaidu\u201c \u201eErnie Bot\u201c pritrauk\u0117 70 milijon\u0173 vartotoj\u0173 pra\u0117jus trims m\u0117nesiams po jo vie\u0161o i\u0161leidimo, o bendrov\u0117 teigia, kad jos pa\u010dios sukurtas modelis pagal bendr\u0105sias galimybes nenusileid\u017eia \u201eOpenAI\u201c GPT-4.<\/p>

Ta\u010diau \u201eBaidu\u201c vis dar stengiasi atsigauti po pandemijos, o investuotojai nerimauja d\u0117l Kinijos ekonomikos sveikatos, \u0161alyje gresiant defliacijai. JAV veiksmai siekiant apriboti lust\u0173 eksport\u0105 \u012f Kinij\u0105 taip pat daro \u012ftak\u0105 \u0161alies technologij\u0173 \u012fmon\u0117ms.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pasaulio akcij\u0173 indeksas MSCI World (EUR) lapkrit\u012f augo 6 proc. Obligacij\u0173 rinkoms \u2014 geriausias m\u0117nuo nuo 2008 m. kriz\u0117s Infliacija tiek JAV, tiek Europoje ir toliau l\u0117t\u0117ja. Rinkose \u012fsitvirtina nuomon\u0117, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5048,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"footnotes":"","_tec_slr_enabled":"","_tec_slr_layout":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-straipsniai"],"yoast_head":"\nLapkri\u010dio Naujienos i\u0161 Gretos \u0160iau\u010diulyt\u0117s, CFA, INWEST Ambasador\u0117s - INWEST<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Esame tvirtai \u012fsitikinusios, kad kiekviena moteris gali investuoti. 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